The Evidence on VBAC: Safety and Success Rates
- chanelle campbell

- Oct 29
- 5 min read

Vaginal birth after cesarean (VBAC) is a valuable option for women with a prior cesarean delivery who are considering their choices for subsequent births [1][2]. This blog post aims to provide an evidence-based overview of VBAC, focusing on safety and success rates, to equip VBAC practitioners with the knowledge to support informed decision-making.
What is VBAC?
VBAC refers to delivering a baby vaginally after a previous delivery by cesarean section [1][3]. Attempting a VBAC involves a trial of labour after cesarean (TOLAC), where the woman labours with the goal of achieving a vaginal birth [3][4].
Historical Context
The saying "once a cesarean, always a cesarean" was a common belief in the past [5]. However, research has shown VBAC to be a safe and reasonable choice for many women, leading to a shift in this belief [5][6].
Benefits of VBAC
Reduced Maternal Morbidity: Successful VBAC is associated with decreased maternal morbidity, such as blood transfusion, infection, and hysterectomy [7].
Fewer Complications in Future Pregnancies: VBAC can decrease the risk of complications like abnormal placental implantation (placenta previa/accreta), ectopic pregnancy, stillbirth, and preterm birth in subsequent pregnancies [1][2].
Avoidance of Surgery: VBAC avoids the risks associated with repeat surgeries, such as incision pain and wound infection [7].
Improved Postpartum Recovery: VBAC is often linked to earlier skin-to-skin contact, earlier breastfeeding initiation, shorter hospital stays, and easier recovery [7].
Decreased Overall Cesarean Delivery Rate: Increasing VBAC rates can contribute to a decrease in the overall cesarean delivery rate [1].
Success Rates of VBAC
The success rate of VBAC typically ranges from 60% to 80% [1][8]. Factors influencing VBAC success include [2][9]:
Prior Vaginal Birth: Women with a prior vaginal delivery, especially a prior successful VBAC, have a higher likelihood of VBAC success [2][5]. Success rates are even higher (85-90%) if there was a previous vaginal birth after a prior cesarean delivery [2][10].
Spontaneous Labour: Spontaneous onset of labour is associated with higher VBAC success rates [1][11].
Non-Recurring Indication for Prior Cesarean: If the reason for the first cesarean is not present in the subsequent pregnancy (e.g., breech presentation), the chances of VBAC success increase [5][12]. The overall proportion of successful VBAC is greater than 60% if the primary CS was done for non-recurring indications [12].
Inter-delivery Interval: An inter-delivery interval of more than 18-24 months from the primary CS may improve VBAC success and decrease the risk of uterine rupture [7][13].
Maternal Characteristics: Factors such as younger maternal age (<35 or <40 years), normal BMI, and being of Caucasian race are associated with successful VBAC [9][14]. Greater maternal height is also associated with increased likelihood of successful VBAC [10].
Favourable Cervical Examination: A favourable initial pelvic examination, consisting of cervical dilation >1 cm, cervical effacement >50% or station -1 or lower, is a good indicator of success [14]. Those admitted with cervical diameter greater than 3 cm (active first stage of labour) had a strong likelihood of vaginal delivery [14].
Infant Birthweight: Lower infant birthweight (less than 4 kg) is associated with an increased likelihood of successful VBAC [10][14].
Risks of VBAC
Uterine Rupture: This is the most significant concern with VBAC, where the prior uterine scar can separate during labour [4][15]. The risk of uterine rupture with a low transverse incision is relatively low, ranging from 0.5% to 0.9% [10][15]. However, if it occurs, it can lead to severe maternal and neonatal complications [16]. Continuous fetal monitoring is recommended as changes in the fetal heart rate are key indicators of uterine rupture [1][17].
Need for Emergency Cesarean Delivery: 20% to 40% of planned VBAC attempts may end in the need for a cesarean section [7]. Emergency repeat cesareans carry greater risks than elective repeat cesareans [7][16].
Fetal Complications: Uterine rupture can interrupt oxygen supply to the baby, potentially leading to fetal acidosis, NICU admission, fetal asphyxia, or even death [16][18].
Contraindications to VBAC
VBAC after two Cesarean Sections (VBAC-2)
Women with two prior low-transverse cesarean incisions may be candidates for VBAC and should be counselled based on the factors that affect their likelihood of vaginal birth [2][22]. Labour should be conducted in a centre with suitable expertise and recourse to immediate surgical delivery [2].
The Role of Practitioners
Counselling: Providing comprehensive counselling to women considering VBAC, discussing the risks, benefits, and alternatives [1][21]. The antenatal counselling process should be documented in the medical records [21].
Patient Selection: Identifying suitable candidates for VBAC based on their medical history and individual circumstances [1][21].
Monitoring: Closely monitoring the mother and baby during labour, with continuous fetal heart rate monitoring [1][17].
Emergency Preparedness: Ensuring that the facility is equipped for emergency cesarean delivery if needed [1][19].
Conclusion
VBAC is a safe and valid option for many women with a prior cesarean delivery [1][6]. By understanding the evidence-based information on safety and success rates, VBAC practitioners can empower women to make informed decisions and provide them with the best possible care [23][24].
References
American College of Obstetricians and Gynaecologists (ACOG). (2019). Vaginal Birth After Cesarean Delivery (Practice Bulletin No. 205). [4]
National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE). (2021). Cesarean birth. [25]
Royal College of Obstetricians and Gynaecologists (RCOG). (2007). Birth after previous caesarean birth (Green-top Guideline No. 45). [2][26]
World Health Organisation (WHO). Care in normal birth: a practical guide.
Learn more:
Vaginal Birth After Cesarean Delivery - StatPearls - NCBI Bookshelf - NIH
RCOG GUIDELINE BIRTH AFTER PREVIOUS CAESARIAN BIRTH Part 1 - YouTube
VBAC or Elective C-Section: Doctor Explains The Risks - YouTube
ACOG Updates Recommendations on Vaginal Birth After Previous Cesarean Delivery
Success rate of vaginal birth after a cesarean section | IJWH - Dove Medical Press
ACOG Releases Guidelines for Vaginal Birth After Cesarean Delivery - AAFP
Vaginal Birth After Cesarean (VBAC): Facts, Safety & Risks - Cleveland Clinic
VBAC Guidelines: Who is a Candidate for a Trial of Labor after Cesarean Delivery?
Risk of Uterine Rupture with Vaginal Birth after Cesarean in Twin Gestations - PMC - NIH
So You Want a Vaginal Birth After Caesarean? (VBAC in under 5 minutes) - YouTube
Empowering Moms: Vaginal Birth After Cesarean (VBAC) Tips for Success - YouTube
New ACOG VBAC Guidelines: Same Old, Same Old or a Step Forward? - Henci Goer
Providers' perspective on vaginal birth after cesarean birth: a qualitative systematic review
Class on Nice Guideline NG 192 - Cesarean Birth - VBAC GTG 45 for part 2 & 3 MRCOG
RCOG Guideline 45: Birth after previous caesarean birth - University of Birmingham







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